The Earthquake That Shook Silicon Valley
In late January 2025, Silicon Valley, the heart of the tech industry, was rocked by an unprecedented shock. On January 27, the Nasdaq index plummeted by 3.1%, and NVIDIA, the king of AI chips, lost approximately $600 billion in market capitalization in a single day. This marked the largest single-day loss for a single company in U.S. stock market history. In the aftermath, over $1 trillion evaporated from the U.S. technology market as a whole. The epicenter of this event, dubbed the ‘DeepSeek Shock,’ was not a market collapse or an economic crisis. The cause was a single press release from DeepSeek, a small Chinese startup founded just a year prior with fewer than 200 employees.
The core of this article is to analyze the paradox inherent in this event. DeepSeek's R1 model achieved performance nearly on par with the world's top proprietary models at a fraction of the cost. This achievement, a dramatic demonstration of capital and resource ‘efficiency,’ seemed to herald a de-escalation of the costly AI development race. However, this report presents the opposite conclusion. This event has, in fact, clarified the strategic landscape and will become a catalyst that intensifies the massive capital-based AI arms race, led by U.S. HyperScalers, to an unprecedented level.
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